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Week 10 NFL Power Rankings

Yeah. This is tough to figure out. Even tougher to post this when 24 hours ago I claimed the Texans were the fourth best team in their conference. The good news is this won’t likely last. Matt Schaub is done for the year and Matt Leinart is spending his bye week preparing to derp all over the field for the next six weeks. Things won’t end well for the Texans.

All I can say is this. For better or worse, the formula I devised places an emphasis on defense over offense. Houston’s defense is #1 in yards per game and #2 in points per game. The Packers aren’t anywhere near that. Houston loses ground offensively to the Packers in terms of points scored per game (35.6 to 27.3), but in yards gained per game the two teams are fairly close (GB: 409.7, HOU: 396.2). Their SOS is fairly equal, turnover differential is the same (+11). Ultimately this comes down to the Texans having a dominant defense and an offense that still scores almost 28 points per game while the Packers have a dominant offense and a defense that has yet to prove itself.

As far as the eyeball test goes, yes, I totally agree, the Packers appear to be the superior team. It’s tough to watch them and think anything different. That said, the Texans’ victory was nearly as impressive and against an arguably better team (37-9 over now 4-5 Tampa Bay). And Football Outsiders agrees with me, so there.

BIGGEST MOVERS

  • UP: Cowboys (14 to 8 ) and Bears (16 to 10)
  • DOWN: Bills (9 to 16)

 TEAM

LAST_WEEK

RECORD

RANKINGS_INDEX

1.

Texans

 3

(.7019)

 7-3

.7439

2.

Packers

 1

(.7181)

 9-0

.7368

3.

49ers

 5

(.6520)

 8-1

.7132

4.

Lions

2

 (.7136)

 6-3

.6491

5.

Ravens

4

(.6991)

 6-3

 .6468

6.

Steelers

8

(.5960)

 7-3

 .6064

7.

Bengals

 6

(.6378)

 6-3

 .5982

8.

Cowboys

14

 (.5337)

 5-4

 .5933

9.

Saints

7

(.6082)

 7-3

 .5912

10.

Bears

 16

(.5129)

 6-3

 .5729

11.

Patriots

 13

(.5459)

 6-3

 .5708

12.

Giants

11

 (.5658)

 6-3

 .5426

13.

Falcons

12

 (.5561)

 5-4

 .5258

14.

Jets

10

(.5786)

 5-4

 .5177

15.

Titans

18

 (.4614)

 5-4

 .5024

16.

Bills

9

(.5893)

 5-4

 .4918

17.

Eagles

15

(.5133)

 3-6

 .4697

18.

Chargers

17

 (.5129)

 4-5

 .4582

19.

Raiders

19

 (.4232)

 5-4

  .4418

20.

Jaguars

25

 (.3787)

 3-6

  .4164

21.

Browns

22

(.4183)

 3-6

 .4143

22.

Broncos

27

 (.3691)

 4-5

 .3916

23.

Seahawks

28

 (.3506)

 3-6

 .3834

24.

Redskins

24

 (.3990)

 3-6

 .3698

25.

Panthers

21

 (.4202)

 2-7

 .3680

26.

Vikings

23

 (.4042)

2-7

 .3545

27.

Chiefs

26

 (.3780)

 4-5

 .3545

28.

Dolphins

30

(.3214)

2-7

 .3532

29.

Buccaneers

20

(.4220)

 4-5

 .3525

30.

Cardinals

29

 (.3267)

 3-6

 .3498

31.

Rams

31

(.2677)

 2-7

 .2853

32.

Colts

32(.1440)  0-10  .1232
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