Home > NFL > NFL Week Three Power Rankings: The Computer Made Me Do It

NFL Week Three Power Rankings: The Computer Made Me Do It

If you make it past the part where the Lions are #1 to get to the part where the Bills are #2 and your head hasn’t already exploded, by the time you get to the part where the 49ers are #8 this will surely detonate some blood vessels.

 

Let me explain.

 

I am aware the 49ers have the lowers offensive yards per game average in the NFL. With no context, this statistic would automatically preclude them from being anywhere near the top 15, much less #8. But consider the following. They have scored two special teams touchdowns and forced eight turnovers in three games. They average 39.7 yards per kickoff return (best in the league) and 13 yards per punt return (8th). What I’m saying here is, they generally don’t have a lot of ground to cover to get into the end zone. Don’t hate the Niners because they have a great special teams and force turnovers. The formula doesn’t.

 

Indeed, the formula really likes that the Niners are +6 in turnover differential. It loves that they are holding opposing teams to 306.3 yards per game and outscores its opposition by an average of six points per game.

 

When you think about it this way it isn’t that hard to understand, right?

 

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I should stress that a team’s overall record has the greatest impact on where it falls in the standings. While I believe that ranking teams based on record alone is stupid, I don’t deny the fact that winning games is the ultimate goal of football and teams that win, no matter how or why, should be rewarded for doing so.

 

That said, I think you would agree that the 0-3 Vikings, having led all three of their games at halftime, against three teams that are a combined 7-2 no less, and having taken the 3-0 Lions to overtime, are properly ranked higher than a 1-2 Seahawks team that has yet to play a decent game. This is ultimately the goal of these rankings.

 

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Biggest movers

  • UP: Nine spots — RAVENS (12 to 3) and 49ERS (17 to 9)
  • DOWN: Eight spots –EAGLES (14 to 22)

 TEAM

LAST_WEEK

RECORD

RANKINGS_INDEX

 1.

Lions

 1

(.8193)

 3-0

.7807

2.

Bills

 3

(.7683)

 3-0

.7351

3.

Ravens

 12

(.5740)

2-1

.6976

4.

Packers

8

 (.6203)

3-0

.6788

5.

Titans

10

(.6127)

 2-1

 .6482

6.

Jets

2

(.7683)

 2-1

 .6341

7.

Cowboys

 9

(.6169)

 2-1

 .6330

8.

49ers

17

 (.5155)

 2-1

 .6121

9.

Saints

7

(.6209)

 2-1

 .6095

10.

Texans

 5

(.7095)

 2-1

 .6078

11.

Redskins

 4

(.7159)

 2-1

 .6071

12.

Patriots

6

  (.6824)

 2-1

 .6068

13.

Raiders

13

 (.5594)

 2-1

 .5921

14.

Giants

15

(.5240)

 2-1

 .5683

15.

Steelers

22

 (.4806)

 2-1

 .5413

16.

Bengals

11

(.5943)

 1-2

 .5311

17.

Buccaneers

24

(.4752)

 2-1

 .5250

18.

Chargers

20

 (.5069)

 2-1

 .5130

19.

Browns

19

 (.5088)

 2-1

  .5076

20.

Panthers

26

 (.3953)

 1-2

  .4720

21.

Bears

16

(.5183)

 1-2

 .4668

22.

Eagles

14

 (.5473)

 1-2

 .4544

23.

Broncos

21

 (.4462)

 1-2

 .4484

24.

Cardinals

23

 (.4787)

 1-2

 .4432

25.

Jaguars

18

 (.5142)

 1-2

 .4288

26.

Falcons

25

 (.4613)

 1-2

 .4093

27.

Vikings

28

 (.3608)

 0-3

 .3958

28.

Seahawks

 31

(.2825)

 1-2

 .3919

29.

Dolphins

27

 (.3833)

 0-3

 .3295

30.

Colts

29

 (.3549)

 0-3

 .3272

31.

Rams

30

 (.3359)

 0-3

 .2253

32.

Chiefs

32

(.2245)

 0-3  .2179
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